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Table 3 Estimation of direct effect of universal health coverage index and global health security index on COVID-19 Infection rate in Africa

From: The role of universal health coverage and global health security nexus and interplay on SARS-CoV-2 infection and case-fatality rates in Africa : a structural equation modeling approach

Variables

Path coefficient

Std. Err.

z -statistics

p-value

[95% Conf. Interval]

COVID-19 case-fatality rate

 lnInfection rate

-0.370

0.147

-2.52

0.012

-0.66, -0.08

 Median age of the national population

-0.124

0.058

-2.16

0.031

-0.24,-0.01

 Percentage who currently use tobacco

0.065

0.037

1.73

0.085

-0.01, 0.14

 Disease specific mortality of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD).

-0.009

0.057

-0.17

0.868

-0.12, 0.10

 Overall GHS index

0.002

0.022

0.11

0.913

-0.04, 0.05

 Prevalence of obesity among adults expressed as BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2

0.128

0.037

3.49

0.000

0.06,0.20

 UHC for service coverage index

0.004

0.026

0.17

0.868

-0.05, 0.06

 Constant

4.386

1.114

3.94

0.000

2.20, 6.57

COVID-19 lnInfection rate

 Median age of the national population

0.118*

0.052

2.26

0.024

0.02, 0.22

 Overall GHS index

-0.024

0.019

-1.25

0.212

-0.06,0.01

 Population density per square kilometer

-0.003

0.001

-2.40

0.016

-0.0058, -0.00059

 Prevalence of obesity among adults expressed as BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2

-0.057*

0.040

-1.41

0.158

-0.14,0.02

 Air pollution attributable death rate (per 100,000 population)

0.0005

0.005

0.09

0.932

-0.01, 0.01

 UHC for service coverage index

0.089

0.027

3.41

0.001

0.04,0.14

 Constant

0.444

1.564

0.28

0.776

-2.62,3.51

  1. UHC Universal health coverage (UHC), GHS index Global Health Security Index, SRMR Standardized root mean squared residual, CD Coefficient of determination * Significant at P < 0.05