Table 4 Sensitivity Analysis parameters for one way, multivariate, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis
Parameters | Deterministic Base case (Low – High) | Probabilistic mean value (95% CI) | Distribution Type | α | λ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Development | |||||
  Investment | |||||
  Curriculum adaptation | $896 ($640 – $1221) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Recurrent |  |  |  |  |  |
  Personnel Salaries | $1527 ($848 - $2529) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Buildings, Maintenance, Overhead | $1044 ($421 - $1769) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Furniture & Equipment | $1099 ($632 -$2378) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
Start Up | |||||
  Investment | |||||
  Curriculum adaptation | $1791 ($1279 - $2442) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Health Information Officer Training | $671 ($399 - $1389) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Master Mentor: Training of Trainers | $3808 ($1854 - $7825) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Regional Health Team Meetings | $115 ($55 - $217) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Training Equipment | $3153 ($693 - $14,077) | $3024 ($0 - $22,856) | Gamma | 0.20 | 6.21 E-05 |
  Recurrent | |||||
  Personnel Salaries | $11,080 ($6042 - $18,561) | $10,930 ($2096 - $24,946) | Gamma | 3.09 | 2.79 E-04 |
  Buildings, Maintenance, Overhead | $5000 ($597 - $13,589) | $5032 ($19 - $22,222) | Gamma | 0.57 | 1.15 E-04 |
  Furniture & Equipment | $2197 ($1264 - $4756) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
Implementation | |||||
  Investment | |||||
  Curriculum adaptation | $15,582 ($9569 - $23,120) | $15,658 ($4979 - $32,421) | Gamma | 5.27 | 3.38 E-04 |
  Health Information Officer Training | $5836 ($2985 - $13,151) |  |  |  |  |
  Master Mentor: Training of Trainers | $33,128 ($13,869 - $74,084) | $33,682 ($1875 - $120,093) | Gamma | 1.16 | 3.50 E-05 |
  Regional Health Team Meetings | $1002 ($413 - $2054) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Training Equipment | $9460 ($2309 - $39,416) | $9,6129 ($0 – $65,749) | Gamma | 0.23 | 2.44 E-05 |
  LDHF 1 facility based training | $167,024 ($85,256 - $309,243) | $173,400 ($21,445 - $745,323) | Gamma | 2.18 | 1.30 E-05 |
  LDHF 2 facility based training | $118,478 ($57,877 - $217,833) | $116,992 ($18,514 - $305,365) | Gamma | 2.17 | 1.82 E-05 |
  mMentoring Phonecalls | $1473 ($631 - $2941) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  mMentoring Text Messages | $2061 ($1141 - $3302) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Master Mentor: Refresher Training | $20,456 ($10,381 - $46,288) | n/a, remain as in base case |  |  |  |
  Recurrent | |||||
  Personnel Salaries | $361,037 ($169,236 - $658,141) | $364,675 ($46,819 - $1,005,255) | Gamma | 2.15 | 5.95 E-06 |
  Buildings, Maintenance, Overhead | $35,272 ($9417 - $89,609) | $35,060 ($360 – $159,554) | Gamma | 0.74 | 2.11 E-05 |
  Furniture & Equipment | $19,116 ($9453 - $45,024) | $19,534 ($596 – $66,203) | Gamma | 1.08 | 5.65 E-05 |
Health Effects | Deterministic Base case (Low – High) | Probabilistic (95% CI) | Distribution Type | Mean | SD |
Reduction in Newborn Mortality rate (per 1000 live births) from baseline compared to 1–6 months after LDHF training | 48% (37% - 60%) | 48.0% (25.5% - 71.7%) | Normal | 48.1% | 11.5% |
Reduction in Newborn Mortality rate (per 1000 live births) from baseline compared to 7–12 months after LDHF training | 56% (39% - 73%) | 56.0% (22.4% - 92.1%) | Normal | 56.0% | 17.1% |
Reduction in Stillbirth Rate (per 1000 births) from baseline compared to 1–6 months after LDHF training | 35% (22% - 48%) | 35.2% (10.8% - 58.8%) | Normal | 34.8% | 12.9% |
Reduction in Stillbirth Rate (per 1000 births) from baseline compared to 7–12 months after LDHF training | 49% (33% - 65%) | 49.1% (18.2% - 79.4%) | Normal | 49.0% | 15.8% |