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Table 3 MDG 4: Countries’ performance based on global, minimum performance and fast-track targets listed by income group

From: Country progress towards the Millennium Development Goals: adjusting for socioeconomic factors reveals greater progress and new challenges

   

U5MR MDG target

U5MR aalternative 1 minimum performance target

U5MR alternative 2 fast-track target

SUMMARY OF COUNTRIES ON TRACK†

   

(Time projections only)

(Time & GDP adjusted)

(Time, GDP, & policy factor adjusted)

   

Income group

 

Country

U5MR Actual 1990

U5MR Actual 2010

MDG 4 Target for 2010

2010 Target adjusted for GDP and country trajectory

2010 Target based on adoption of best attainable policies in the region

On track by global MDG 4 target

On track by minimum performance target

On track by fast-track target

LOW INCOME GROUP

          

*

Bangladesh

138.8

48.7

64.8

57.8

47.9

✓

✓

 

*

Benin

177.3

108.8

82.7

101.4

83.8

   

*

Burkina Faso

208.4

148.8

97.3

128.9

107.9

   

*

Burundi

182.6

141.7

85.2

128.6

100.1

   

*

Cambodia

116.7

46.0

54.5

58.8

41.9

✓

✓

 

*

 

169.1

164.6

78.9

130.6

99.6

   

*

Chad

208.3

171.3

97.2

143.1

106.7

   

*

Comoros

121.7

81.3

56.8

76 · 5

58.4

   

*

Congo, Dem. Rep.

181.4

169.9

84.7

153.1

115.2

   

*

Eritrea

137.7

69.8

64.3

71.4

55.6

 

✓

 

*

Ethiopia

198.3

81.5

92 · 5

95.1

74.5

✓

✓

 

*

Gambia, The

164.6

102.6

76.8

96.8

79.2

   

*

Guinea

228.2

129.8

106.5

128.5

101.3

   

*

Guinea-Bissau

210.4

161.7

98.2

141.7

110.6

   

*

Haiti

143.0

160.7

66.7

80.4

59.9

   

*

Kenya

97.8

76.1

45.6

75.7

60.0

   

*

Kyrgyz Republic

70.3

31.7

32.8

35.2

29.0

✓

✓

 

*

Liberia

241.2

83.1

112.6

105.1

83.8

✓

✓

✓

*

Madagascar

161.2

64.3

75.2

77.5

59.4

✓

✓

 

*

Malawi

227.0

89.0

105.9

110.6

88.2

✓

✓

 

LOW INCOME GROUP

*

Mali

257.3

178.9

120.1

157.0

127.0

   

*

Mozambique

225.7

108.4

105.3

116.2

93.2

 

✓

 

*

Nepal

134.6

50 .3

62.8

58.2

47.6

✓

✓

 

*

Niger

313.7

130.9

146.4

159.8

131.6

✓

✓

✓

*

Rwanda

156.3

60.4

72.9

104.3

84.3

✓

✓

✓

*

Sierra Leone

266.7

188.8

124.5

179.8

141.1

   

*

Tajikistan

114.3

66.1

53.3

74.6

63.6

 

✓

 

*

Tanzania

157.9

72.5

73.7

85.7

71.4

✓

✓

 

*

Togo

147.0

111.7

68.6

96.0

76.5

   

*

Uganda

178.0

94.2

83.1

94.8

74.4

 

✓

 

*

Zimbabwe

79.2

72.4

37.0

67.9

49.0

   

LOW-MIDDLE INCOME GROUP

 

Armenia

47.2

18.3

22.0

21.3

17.3

✓

✓

 
 

Bhutan

138.4

55.9

64.6

58.9

50.7

✓

✓

 

*

Bolivia

119.5

52.9

55.8

57.4

42.0

✓

✓

 

*

Cameroon

145.2

128.9

67.8

105.7

81.1

   
 

Cape Verde

58.0

22.5

27.1

25.4

21.3

✓

✓

 

*

Congo, Rep.

118.8

99.6

55.4

82.6

65.9

   

*

Cote d'Ivoire

151.4

116.7

70.7

104.0

82.5

   

*

Djibouti

121.6

91.2

56.7

82.8

60.1

   

*

Egypt, Arab Rep.

85.7

22.5

40.0

30.7

25.2

✓

✓

✓

 

El Salvador

60.2

16.3

28.1

22.8

19.2

✓

✓

✓

 

Georgia

46.9

21.5

21.9

25.4

19.6

✓

✓

 

*

Ghana

120.9

79.6

56.4

70.1

55.1

   

*

Guatemala

78.0

31.6

36.4

34.9

29.4

✓

✓

 
 

Guyana

63.0

37.0

29.4

33.6

25.7

✓

✓

 
 

Honduras

55.0

22.2

25.7

25.6

22.1

✓

✓

 

*

India

114.2

63.4

53.3

59.2

48.7

   

*

Indonesia

81.6

33.3

38.1

36.4

26.2

✓

✓

 
 

Kiribati

87.6

48.7

40.9

47.2

41.8

   

*

Lao PDR

147.7

43.9

68.9

54.5

36.7

✓

✓

 

*

Lesotho

87.5

93.0

40.8

74.2

65.9

   

*

Mauritania

124.7

112.9

58.2

88.5

69.8

   
 

Micronesia, Fed. Sts.

56.4

42.0

26.3

35.8

31.5

 

✓

 
 

Moldova

34.9

16.6

16.3

18.9

15.1

✓

✓

 
 

Mongolia

106.5

33.0

49.7

44.1

38.7

✓

✓

✓

*

Morocco

81.3

34.3

37.9

37.9

31.0

✓

✓

 
 

Nicaragua

66.1

27.0

30.8

30.3

25.5

✓

✓

 

LOW-MIDDLE INCOME GROUP

*

Nigeria

213.6

129.2

99.7

129.2

100.7

 

✓

 

*

Pakistan

122.2

73.7

57.0

69.3

55.4

   

*

Papua New Guinea

88.0

59.5

41.1

52.8

44.9

   
 

Paraguay

52.6

23.4

24.5

26.0

18.1

✓

✓

 

*

Philippines

57.0

26.4

26.6

28.1

19.7

✓

✓

 
 

Samoa

29.5

18.9

13.8

16.7

15.0

✓

✓

 

*

Senegal

135.9

69.1

63.4

83.8

68.9

 

✓

 

*

Solomon Islands

41.8

22.2

19.5

22.8

19.7

✓

✓

 
 

Sri Lanka

28.9

12.6

13.5

13.0

10.9

✓

✓

 

*

Sudan

122.8

87.7

57.3

73.5

59.4

   

*

Swaziland

83.3

109.2

38.9

76.3

67.7

   
 

Syrian Arab Republic

36.1

15.9

16.8

16.5

12.6

✓

✓

 
 

Timor-Leste

180.0

57.6

84.0

63.5

45.5

✓

✓

 
 

Ukraine

19.4

10.7

9.1

13.4

11.1

✓

✓

✓

*

Uzbekistan

75.3

49.6

35.1

46.5

38.2

   
 

Vanuatu

38.5

13.7

18.0

16.5

14.7

✓

✓

✓

*

Vietnam

49.9

22.6

23.3

22.4

16.3

✓

  
 

West Bank and Gaza

43.1

22.6

20.1

22.0

16.7

✓

✓

 

*

Yemen, Rep.

126.0

78.5

58.8

72.9

50.4

   

*

Zambia

192.8

90.4

90.0

110.6

86.5

✓

✓

 

UPPER-MIDDLE INCOME GROUP

 

Albania

41.2

15.0

19.2

17.7

15.4

✓

✓

✓

 

Algeria

65.6

31.3

30.6

33.6

28.3

✓

✓

 

*

Angola

243.2

161.0

113.5

146.9

116.0

   
 

Argentina

27.6

14.5

12.9

14.1

11.7

✓

✓

 

*

Azerbaijan

94.5

46.4

44.1

51.0

37.8

 

✓

 
 

Belarus

17.2

6.1

8.0

8.4

7.7

✓

✓

✓

 

Belize

43.9

17.6

20.5

19.0

15.8

✓

✓

 
 

Bosnia and Herzegovina

18.8

7.9

8.8

6.0

5.4

✓

✓

 

*

Botswana

52.8

27.5

24.6

37.7

35.6

✓

✓

✓

*

Brazil

58.0

16.8

27.1

24.2

19.6

✓

✓

✓

 

Bulgaria

22.2

12.7

10.4

14.3

12.9

✓

✓

✓

*

China

48.9

15.9

22.8

19.7

17.9

✓

✓

✓

 

Colombia

34.3

18.3

16.0

18.1

13.9

✓

✓

 
 

Costa Rica

17.2

10.1

8.0

9.1

7.6

✓

✓

 
 

Cuba

13.3

5.9

6.2

6.3

5.3

✓

✓

 
 

Dominica

17.4

12.1

8.1

10.6

9.4

✓

✓

 
 

Dominican Republic

58.3

25.7

27.2

26.4

21.4

✓

✓

 
 

Ecuador

52.4

23.6

24.5

25.4

19.5

✓

✓

 
 

Fiji

29.6

17.1

13.8

16.3

15.1

✓

✓

 

*

Gabon

94.4

67.4

44.1

62.0

46.4

   
 

Grenada

21.0

13.1

9.8

11.4

9.7

✓

✓

 
 

Hungary

18.7

6.6

8.7

7.6

6.8

✓

✓

✓

 

Iran, Islamic Rep.

61.1

26.2

28.5

29.2

24.4

✓

✓

 

*

Iraq

46.0

38.6

21.5

30.5

22.0

✓

  
 

Jamaica

34.5

19.0

16.1

18.6

15.4

✓

✓

 
 

Jordan

36.7

21.1

17.1

20.3

15.9

✓

✓

 
 

Kazakhstan

57.0

29.2

26.6

31.1

27.1

✓

✓

 
 

Lebanon

33.1

9.9

15.4

12.4

10.2

✓

✓

✓

 

Libya

44.1

17.0

20.6

18.3

16.0

✓

✓

 
 

Macedonia, FYR

37.6

10.2

17.5

13.1

11.2

✓

✓

✓

 

Malaysia

17.2

6.8

8.0

7.3

5.2

✓

✓

 
 

Maldives

105.2

12.4

49.1

24.6

20.5

✓

✓

✓

 

Marshall Islands

51.9

27.7

24.2

28.0

25.7

✓

✓

 
 

Mauritius

23.9

15.2

11.2

12.8

10.5

✓

✓

 

*

Mexico

48.8

16.6

22.8

20.6

17.7

✓

✓

✓

 

Montenegro

17.6

7.6

8.2

8.4

7.2

✓

✓

 
 

Namibia

72.8

45.9

34.0

48.2

42.4

 

✓

 
 

Palau

32.3

19.1

15.1

18.9

17.5

✓

✓

 
 

Panama

33.3

20.0

15.5

17.9

15.3

✓

✓

 

*

Peru

75.1

19.4

35.0

26.9

20.9

✓

✓

✓

 

Romania

37.4

13.6

17.5

18.2

15.1

✓

✓

✓

 

Serbia

28.6

7.4

13.3

10.4

8.5

✓

✓

✓

 

Seychelles

16.6

13.9

7.7

10.0

8.1

✓

✓

 

*

South Africa

62.3

52.6

29.1

50.2

44.1

   
 

St. Lucia

22.5

15.8

10.5

13.1

10.8

✓

✓

 
 

St. Vincent & the Grenadines

26.5

21.2

12.4

16.0

14.2

✓

✓

 
 

Suriname

51.9

29.8

24.2

29.5

23.1

✓

✓

 
 

Thailand

35.0

12.8

16.3

13.4

9.4

✓

✓

 
 

Tonga

24.5

15.7

11.4

14.1

13.2

✓

✓

 
 

Tunisia

51.1

17.2

23.8

20.5

16.9

✓

✓

 
 

Turkey

72.0

16.3

33.6

24.3

19.7

✓

✓

✓

*

Turkmenistan

94.3

54.0

44.0

51.7

43.5

   
 

Tuvalu

57.6

31.1

26.9

30.5

28.1

✓

✓

 
 

Venezuela, RB

30.9

15.6

14.4

16.2

12.6

✓

✓

 

HIGH INCOME GROUP**

 

Chile

18.7

8.8

8.7

7.9

6.4

✓

✓

 
 

Croatia

12.9

5.3

6.0

5.7

4.9

✓

✓

 
 

Czech Republic

14.3

4.1

6.7

4.8

4.3

✓

✓

✓

*

Equatorial Guinea

189.6

122.0

88.5

84.9

73.8

   
 

Estonia

20.1

4.1

9.4

6.1

5.8

✓

✓

✓

 

Latvia

20.6

8.9

9.6

11.6

11.6

✓

✓

✓

 

Lithuania

17.4

6.2

8.1

8.4

8.1

✓

✓

✓

 

Oman

47.5

9.4

22.2

15.0

11.4

✓

✓

✓

 

Poland

17.3

6.1

8.1

6.5

5.9

✓

✓

 
 

Russian Federation

27.3

12.5

12.7

15.1

12.5

✓

✓

✓

 

Slovak Republic

17.6

8.0

8.2

8.5

7.7

✓

✓

 
 

Trinidad and Tobago

36.8

28.0

17.2

22.9

18.6

✓

✓

 
 

Uruguay

23.1

10.8

10.8

11.6

9.8

✓

✓

 

Percent of countries on track:

69%

74%

20%

Percent of SSA countries on track:

27%

40%

9%

  1. *Countdown Country. Six out of the 75 countdown5 countries are not included in this list & analysis because these where missing GDP per capita data: Afghanistan, Korea DPR, Myanmar, Sao Tome & Principe, Somalia, and South Sudan.
  2. **Note that these high income countries were not classified as high income in 2000, which was the cut-off point for this analysis. The list is based on the income in 2013. † `On track’ indicates that the under-five mortality rate is less than 40 deaths per 1,000 live births or that it is 40 or more with an average annual rate of reduction of 4% or higher for 1990–2010.7