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Table 2 The impact of curtailing the leakage of resources on time to reach MDG4 in SSA

From: An analysis of the potential for achieving the fourth millennium development goal in SSA with domestic resources

Country

2000 Actual mortality rates (2014 report)

MDG goals

Actual rates of reduction (%)

Non-normalised IFF (%of GDP)

Corruption perception index (Transparency International)

Percentage of GDP lost corruption

Potential rates of reduction (IFF and Corruption)

Debt service (% of GDP)

Potential rates of reduction (IFF, Corruption and debt service)

Number of years to reach MDG4 (at actual rates)

Number of years to reach MDG4 (potential rates-IFF and CORPN)

Number of years to reach MDG4 (potential rates- IFF,COPRN and debt)

Angola

203

87

1.8

7

1.9

4.8

6.28

11.4

10.61

47

13

8

Benin

174

61

4.2

1

2.9

4.2

6.17

1.2

6.63

24

16

15

Botswana

85

17

3.9

10

5.7

2.5

8.66

0.7

8.93

40

18

17

Burkina Faso

186

67

5.0

3

3.4

3.9

7.62

1

8.00

20

13

12

Burundi

150

63

3.0

6

1.8

4.8

7.12

2.5

8.07

28

12

10

Cameroon

150

50

3.8

6

2.4

4.5

7.78

3

8.92

28

14

12

Central African Republic

164

59

2.0

5

2.0

4.7

5.69

1.5

6.26

51

17

16

Chad

189

67

1.9

20

1.6

5.0

11.38

1.7

12.03

54

9

8

Congo, DR

171

66

1.3

3

2.0

4.7

4.23

4.7

6.02

73

22

15

Congo, Rep

118

35

1.7

25

1.9

4.8

13.02

2.5

13.97

71

9

8

Cote d’Ivoire

145

51

2.5

6

2.1

4.7

6.55

4.4

8.22

41

15

12

Ethiopia

146

70

6.3

6

2.7

4.3

10.22

1

10.60

11

7

7

Gabon

86

31

2.7

11

2.9

4.2

8.47

7.2

11.21

37

12

9

Gambia

116

55

3.9

14

2.7

4.3

10.86

3.5

12.19

19

6

6

Ghana

103

39

3.0

2

4.0

3.5

5.11

3

6.25

32

19

15

Guinea

171

76

4.4

9

1.8

4.8

9.66

4.1

11.22

18

8

7

Guinea Bissau

174

80

2.5

7

2.0

4.7

6.95

1.7

7.60

31

11

10

Kenya

110

35

3.4

1

2.1

4.7

5.55

2.5

6.50

33

20

17

Lesotho

114

34

1.1

15

3.3

4.0

8.30

3.7

9.71

109

14

12

Madagascar

109

56

5.2

6

2.8

4.2

9.09

1.2

9.55

12

7

7

Malawi

174

75

7.5

10

3.2

4.0

12.82

1.7

13.47

11

6

6

Mali

220

83

4.5

3

2.9

4.2

7.23

1.8

7.92

21

13

12

Mauritania

111

43

2.3

12

2.5

4.4

8.54

3.5

9.87

41

11

9

Mozambique

166

83

5.1

5

2.6

4.4

8.66

1.3

9.15

13

8

7

Niger

227

102

5.8

3

2.8

4.2

8.55

1.3

9.05

13

9

8

Nigeria

188

77

3.5

12

2.5

4.4

9.74

2.8

10.81

25

9

8

Rwanda

182

58

10.0

5

3.4

3.9

13.38

0.9

13.72

11

8

8

Senegal

139

50

7.1

1

3.1

4.1

9.03

3

10.17

14

11

10

South Africa

74

19

4.2

4

4.7

3.1

6.91

2.4

7.82

32

19

17

Sudan

106

41

3.1

3

1.5

5.0

6.15

1.3

6.64

30

15

14

Swaziland

121

28

3.4

11

3.5

3.8

9.04

1.5

9.61

42

15

14

Tanzania

132

52

7.4

2

2.8

4.2

9.77

0.9

10.12

12

9

9

Togo

122

50

2.0

6

2.6

4.4

5.94

1.8

6.62

44

15

13

Uganda

147

62

6.3

3

2.5

4.4

9.12

1

9.50

13

9

9

Zambia

169

57

5.4

9

2.9

4.2

10.41

4.4

12.08

20

10

8

Zimbabwe

102

26

1.1

 

2.1

4.7

2.87

3.7

4.28

124

47

31

Total

146

56

4.0

  

5.9

6.19

 

6.19

24

15

15