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Table 1 Transitional Probabilities per Development Phase from 1993–2004

From: Incentives for new antibiotics: the Options Market for Antibiotics (OMA) model

Therapeutic class

Phase I-II (%)

Phase II-III (%)

Phase III- RR (%)

RR-approval (%)

Clinical approval success rate (%)

Anitneoplastic/immunologic

71.8

49.0

55.3

100

19.4

Cardiovascular

62.9

32.4

64.3

66.7

8.7

CNS

59.6

33.0

46.4

90.0

8.2

GI/metabolism

67.5

34.9

50.0

80.0

9.4

Musculoskeletal

72.4

35.2

80.0

100

20.4

Respiratory

72.5

20.0

85.7

80.0

9.9

Systemic anti-infective

58.2

52.2

78.6

100

23.9

Miscellaneous

62.8

48.7

69.8

91.3

19.5

  1. Notes: Through to June 2009.
  2. CNS, Central Nervous System; GI, gastrointestinal; RR, regulatory review.
  3. Source: [36] DiMasi, J.A., et al., Trends in Risks Associated With New Drug Development: Success Rates for Investigational Drugs. Clin Pharmacol Ther, 2010. 87(3):272–277.