Skip to main content

Table 4 Projected excess incident cases of malaria (000s) for alternative climate scenarios relative to baseline climate (mid and high estimates)

From: Adaptation costs for climate change-related cases of diarrhoeal disease, malnutrition, and malaria in 2030

Sub-region

Climate

2000

2030

  

Mid

High

Mid

High

Afr-D

S550

0

1804

1804

3607

 

S750

0

1804

1804

5411

 

UE

1804

1804

3607

9018

Afr-E

S550

3533

7066

12366

26498

 

S750

3533

8833

15899

31797

 

UE

7066

14132

24731

49462

Amr-A

S550

0

0

0

0

 

S750

0

0

0

0

 

UE

0

0

0

0

Amr-B

S550

57

115

229

459

 

S750

86

143

287

545

 

UE

115

258

430

860

Amr-D

S550

7

14

29

65

 

S750

7

22

36

72

 

UE

14

29

57

122

Emr-B

S550

0

0

0

0

 

S750

0

0

0

0

 

UE

0

0

0

0

Emr-D

S550

607

1183

2535

5069

 

S750

676

1352

3211

6252

 

UE

1014

2197

4900

9970

Eur-A

S550

0

0

0

0

 

S750

0

0

0

0

 

UE

0

0

0

0

Eur-B

S550

0

0

0

0

 

S750

0

0

0

0

 

UE

0

0

0

0

Eur-C

S550

0

0

0

0

 

S750

0

0

0

0

 

UE

0

0

0

0

Sear-B

S550

0

0

0

0

 

S750

0

0

0

0

 

UE

0

0

0

0

Sear-D

S550

0

0

0

70

 

S750

0

0

70

70

 

UE

0

0

70

139

Wpr-A

S550

0.4

0.8

1.5

3

 

S750

0.5

1.0

2

4

 

UE

0.8

1.6

3

6

Wpr-B

S550

110

221

404

790

 

S750

147

276

478

974

 

UE

221

441

772

1526