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Table 5 Hypothetical Vacancies without Foreign Recruits a

From: International nurse recruitment and NHS vacancies: a cross-sectional analysis

SHA name %vacb %vacancyUKc #vacancyUKd %vacUK_Filipinoe
Norfolk, Suffolk & ambridgeshire 2.3 13.3 1707 7.4
Bedfordshire & Hertfordshire 6.4 22.5 1552 16.1
Essex 3.3 14.3 1006 9.6
London     
   North West London 6.6 27.2 3349 20.0
   North Central London 5.7 17.0 1756 14.0
   North East London 3.8 18.7 1634 13.8
   South East London 7.3 19.0 2102 15.1
   South West London 2.3 18.6 1347 13.1
Northumberland, Tyne & Wear 1.1 5.9 621 2.7
County Durham & Tees Valley 1.4 5.2 383 2.9
NE Yorkshire & N Lincolnshire 2.1 6.4 520 5.0
West Yorkshire 1.6 9.2 1246 5.2
Cumbria & ancashire 1.3 6.4 754 4.5
Greater Manchester 1.6 9.5 1686 7.8
Cheshire & Merseyside 1.4 8.7 1415 6.2
The Southeast     
   Thames Valley 2.9 18.5 1878 11.8
   Hampshire & Isle of Wight 3.6 14.5 1346 7.6
   Kent & Medway 2.7 11.3 827 7.3
   Surrey & Sussex 4.3 18.3 2321 11.4
Avon, Gloucestershire & Wiltshire 1.8 14.4 1807 9.9
South West Peninsula 0.9 3.7 326 2.8
Dorset & Somerset 0.4 8.0 479 4.8
South Yorkshire 0.9 5.8 524 5.1
Trent 0.8 6.2 888 3.8
Leics, Northamptonshire & Rutland 2.1 8.2 649 6.2
Shropshire & Staffordshire 1.1 8.3 661 3.9
Birmingham & the Black Country 1.9 10.2 1568 5.9
West Midlands South 1.2 8.3 624 5.6
All London SHAs 5.1 18.9 10187 14.4
Southeast Region 3.3 15.3 6372 9.3
Rest of England 1.7 9.1 18427 6.0
England TOTAL 2.6 12.1 34986 8.3
Wales 2.1 6.8 1823 3.7
Scotland 1.1 3.1 1368 2.5
  1. aAssumes no foreign-trained nurses ever came to the UK and that existing NHS staffing counts include full employment of foreign-trained nurses (i.e. 100% of international recruits work full-time for the NHS within their resident SHA, and nurses working in the private health sector or not working at all are attributable entirely to the domestically trained population). While subject to measurement error and strong assumptions, numbers represent upper bound on possible vacancies without foreign recruitment (assuming wages and working conditions would not have improved more over the past few years to attract more locally-trained nurses).
  2. bActual 3-month vacancy rate reported by Department of Health.
  3. using wte count from March, 2004 (collected in the Vacancy Survey and used in the calculation of vacancy rates).
  4. d#vacUK = #vacancy (regular, Table 1) + # foreign-trained nurses.