From: Predicting the number of COVID-19 infections and deaths in USA
March | No. of Reported Cases | Difference in the No. of Cases | IGR | No. of Deaths | Difference in the No. of Deaths | DGR | Entropy of IGR & DGR (bits) | Infection Density (β) | R0 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 75 | 7 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 2.28e-7 | 0.985 |
2 | 100 | 25 | 0.33 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -11.2 | 3.04e-7 | 0.936 |
3 | 124 | 24 | 0.24 | 9 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.79 | 3.76e-7 | 0.928 |
4 | 158 | 34 | 0.27 | 11 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.65 | 4.80e-7 | 0.929 |
5 | 221 | 63 | 0.4 | 12 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.59 | 6.71e-7 | 0.945 |
6 | 319 | 98 | 0.44 | 15 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 9.68e-7 | 0.953 |
7 | 435 | 116 | 0.36 | 19 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 1.32e-6 | 0.957 |
8 | 541 | 106 | 0.24 | 22 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.51 | 1.64e-6 | 0.961 |
9 | 704 | 163 | 0.3 | 26 | 4 | 0.18 | 0.55 | 2.14e-6 | 0.962 |
10 | 994 | 290 | 0.41 | 30 | 4 | 0.15 | 0.67 | 3.02e-6 | 0.969 |
11 | 1,301 | 307 | 0.31 | 38 | 8 | 0.27 | 0.68 | 3.95e-6 | 0.971 |
12 | 1,630 | 329 | 0.25 | 41 | 3 | 0.08 | 0.41 | 4.95e-6 | 0.974 |
13 | 2,183 | 553 | 0.34 | 48 | 7 | 0.17 | 0.61 | 6.63e-6 | 0.977 |
14 | 2,770 | 587 | 0.27 | 57 | 9 | 0.19 | 0.56 | 8.41e-6 | 0.979 |
15 | 3,613 | 843 | 0.3 | 69 | 12 | 0.21 | 0.64 | 1.09e-5 | 0.987 |
16 | 4,596 | 983 | 0.27 | 87 | 18 | 0.26 | 0.71 | 1.39e-5 | 0.985 |
17 | 6,344 | 1,748 | 0.38 | 110 | 23 | 0.26 | 0.78 | 1.93e-5 | 0.980 |
18 | 9,197 | 2,853 | 0.45 | 150 | 40 | 0.36 | 0.90 | 2.79e-5 | 0.984 |
19 | 13,779 | 4,582 | 0.5 | 206 | 56 | 0.37 | 0.93 | 4.18e-5 | 0.986 |
20 | 19,367 | 5,588 | 0.41 | 255 | 49 | 0.24 | 0.74 | 5.88e-5 | 0.987 |
21 | 24,192 | 4,825 | 0.25 | 301 | 46 | 0.18 | 0.50 | 7.34e-5 | 0.988 |
22 | 33,592 | 9,400 | 0.39 | 414 | 113 | 0.38 | 0.83 | 1.02e-4 | 0.987 |
23 | 43,781 | 10,189 | 0.3 | 555 | 141 | 0.34 | 0.73 | 1.33e-4 | 0.986 |
24 | 54,856 | 11,075 | 0.25 | 780 | 225 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 1.67e-4 | 0.983 |
25 | 68,211 | 13,355 | 0.24 | 1027 | 247 | 0.32 | 0.69 | 2.07e-4 | 0.985 |
26 | 85,435 | 17,224 | 0.25 | 1295 | 268 | 0.26 | 0.64 | 2.59e-4 | 0.986 |
27 | 104,126 | 18,691 | 0.22 | 1695 | 400 | 0.31 | 0.63 | 3.16e-4 | 0.984 |
28 | 123,578 | 19,452 | 0.19 | 2220 | 525 | 0.31 | 0.54 | 3.75e-4 | 0.982 |
29 | 143,491 | 19,913 | 0.16 | 2583 | 363 | 0.16 | 0.44 | 4.36e-4 | 0.981 |
30 | 163,788 | 20,297 | 0.14 | 3141 | 558 | 0.26 | 0.59 | 4.97e-4 | 0.981 |
31 | 188,530 (Nti) | 24,742 | 0.15 | 4053 (Ntd) | 912 | 0.29 | 0.56 | 5.72e-4 | 0.978 |
 |  |  | \(\sum = 9.11\) |  |  | \(\sum =12.45\) | \(\sum =8.05\) |  |  |