Table 2 Projected excess incident cases of diarrhoeal diseases (000s) for alternative climate scenarios relative to baseline climate (mid and high estimates)
Sub-region | Climate | 2000 | 2030 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | Â | Mid | High | Mid | High |
Afr-D | S550 | 3,898 | 11,695 | 19,492 | 38,984 |
| Â | S750 | 7,797 | 15,594 | 23,391 | 50,679 |
| Â | UE | 7,797 | 19,492 | 27,289 | 62,375 |
Afr-E | S550 | 4,492 | 13,476 | 22,460 | 49,411 |
| Â | S750 | 8,984 | 17,968 | 26,952 | 58,395 |
| Â | UE | 8,984 | 22,460 | 35,935 | 71,871 |
Amr-A | S550 | 0 | 1,552 | 0 | 4,655 |
| Â | S750 | 0 | 1,552 | 0 | 4,655 |
| Â | UE | 0 | 1,552 | 0 | 6,206 |
Amr-B | S550 | 0 | 7,812 | 0 | 19,530 |
| Â | S750 | 0 | 7,812 | 0 | 23,435 |
| Â | UE | 0 | 7,812 | 0 | 31,247 |
Amr-D | S550 | 733 | 2,198 | 1,465 | 5,129 |
| Â | S750 | 1,465 | 2,198 | 1,465 | 5,862 |
| Â | UE | 1,465 | 2,931 | 1,465 | 7,327 |
Emr-B | S550 | 963 | 2,890 | 5,779 | 5,779 |
| Â | S750 | 1,926 | 2,890 | 5,779 | 5,779 |
| Â | UE | 1,926 | 3,853 | 8,669 | 8,669 |
Emr-D | S550 | 6,912 | 10,368 | 0 | 41,472 |
| Â | S750 | 6,912 | 10,368 | 0 | 44,929 |
| Â | UE | 10,368 | 17,280 | 0 | 65,665 |
Eur-A | S550 | 0 | 1,584 | 0 | 4,753 |
| Â | S750 | 0 | 1,584 | 0 | 4,753 |
| Â | UE | 0 | 1,584 | 0 | 6,338 |
Eur-B | S550 | 785 | 2,355 | 785 | 5,496 |
| Â | S750 | 785 | 2,355 | 785 | 6,281 |
| Â | UE | 785 | 2,355 | 785 | 7,066 |
Eur-C | S550 | 958 | 1,437 | 0 | 3,352 |
| Â | S750 | 958 | 1,437 | 0 | 3,352 |
| Â | UE | 958 | 1,915 | 0 | 3,831 |
Sear-B | S550 | 1,792 | 3,584 | 0 | 8,960 |
| Â | S750 | 1,792 | 5,375 | 0 | 10,753 |
| Â | UE | 3,584 | 7,169 | 0 | 14,337 |
Sear-D | S550 | 21,031 | 1.03 | 63,092 | 136,700 |
| Â | S750 | 21,031 | 42,062 | 73,608 | 157,731 |
| Â | UE | 31,546 | 52,577 | 94,638 | 199,792 |
Wpr-A | S550 | 0 | 300 | 0 | 1,501 |
| Â | S750 | 0 | 300 | 0 | 1,501 |
| Â | UE | 0 | 601 | 0 | 2,102 |
Wpr-B | S550 | 12,252 | 36,756 | 0 | 73,511 |
| Â | S750 | 12,252 | 36,756 | 0 | 73,511 |
| Â | UE | 24,504 | 61,259 | 12,252 | 110,267 |